Saturday, February 27, 2010

CLIMATE CHANGE NEWS FOR FEBRUARY 2010

CC NEWS FOR FEB. 2010

James Hogan, a public relations professional, has written a book with Richard Littlemore titled, Climate Cover-Up: The Crusade to Deny Global Warming, published in Sept. 2009 by Greystone Books. A review of the book and some of its findings can be found in the bright green blog of the Christian Science Monitor, titled, Global warming skepticism is fueled by public relations, author says. Hogan is quoted as saying that the campaign to create skepticism about climate change is 'by far and away the biggest public relations campaign that I've ever seen.' At: http://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/Bright-Green/2009/1224/Global-warming-skepticism-is-fueled-by-public-relations-author-says/(page)/2

A Washington Post article on Jan. 30 by Juliet Eilperin, titled, Obama sets targets on agencies' greenhouse-gas emissions, reported that the president has issued an executive order telling federal agencies to reduce their GHG emissions by 28% by 2020. The Defense Department pledged to reduce its GHG emissions 34% in noncombat operations by 2020. Combat operations, which are not included, account for 62 percent of the department's carbon footprint. At: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/01/29/AR2010012904145.html

Mike Tidwell, the Exec. Director of the Chesapeake Climate Action Network, has produced a 10-minute video (The CLEAR Act: A New Hope) explaining a cap-and-dividend bill by U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell of Washington and Senator Susan Collins of Maine that is simple, fair, and built to last. At: http://www.chesapeakeclimate.org/blog/?p=2710&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+CcanBlog+%28CCAN+Blog%29

A cap-and-dividend system is also supported by James Hansen (see: http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/06/06/james-hansen-tax-c02-emitters-pay-citizens/) and sounds like a way to deal with both climate change and peak oil that is better than either cap-and-trade or a direct tax on carbon. It has a big advantage in being simple and easy both to understand and to administer.

Taxpayers for Common Sense published an article on Jan. 29 titled, Top Nuclear Loan Guarantee Contenders in Financial Shambles. It pointed out that in December 2009 the Department of Energy announced that it would soon issue Treasury (taxpayer)-backed loan guarantees of $18.5 billion for one or two new nuclear power plants. The article says that in the past, “proposed reactors have been riddled with cost overruns, delays and significant design problems, all of which can easily lead to taxpayers losing billions of dollars if and when these risky projects default. Even in the heyday of lending on Wall Street, private backers were not interested in investing in new nuclear reactors because of these serious uncertainties.” My questions are: If private investors are unwilling to accept the risk of new nuclear power plants, why should the public? Are nuclear power plants also “too big to fail”? At: http://taxpayer.net/projects.php?action=view&category=&type=Project&proj_id=3130

An excellent detailed report was issued by KEMA, Inc. for the California Energy Commission in August 2009 titled, Renewable Energy Cost of Generation Update. It describes current and projected technologies and costs for biomass, geothermal, hydropower, solar, wind, wave, integrated gasification combined-cycle (with and without carbon capture and sequestration) and advanced nuclear power.

I found the nuclear power discussion especially informative. At:

http://www.energy.ca.gov/2009publications/CEC-500-2009-084/CEC-500-2009-084.PDF

A companion Draft Staff Report of the California Energy Commission issued at the same time titled, Comparative Costs of Central Station California Electricity Generation, describes in detail the definition and calculation of levelized costs, which include: costs of capital, financing and insurance, operations and maintenance, fuel costs and taxes. At:

http://www.energy.ca.gov/2009publications/CEC-200-2009-017/CEC-200-2009-017-SD.PDF

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has a new web site that is a great place for good information and well-written articles on energy and climate. At:

http://www.climate.gov/#Data_And_Services?id=Climate_And_You

Thinking of buying a hybrid for your next vehicle? The Union of Concerned Scientists has a new web site that rates 31 hybrid models on emissions, the cost effectiveness of emissions reductions, and the forced extra features that come as standard equipment on some hybrids – that may increase vehicle cost and decrease mpg. There is also a good description of the various technologies involved, from conventional vehicles to plug-in hybrids. At: http://www.hybridcenter.org/

In December the World Resources Institute published a graph showing how U.S. GHG emissions are expected change with time under various cap and trade bills under consideration by Congress. U.S. GHG emissions in 2005 were equivalent to about 7 billion tons of CO2 – about 20% of the world total. At:

http://www.wri.org/chart/net-emission-reductions-under-cap-and-trade-proposals-111th-congress-2005-2050

The Pew Project on National Security, Energy and Climate has issued a 4-minute video called, Climate Patriots, describing in a series of short interviews the threat that U.S. dependence on foreign oil and climate change pose to our national security. At:

http://www.pewclimatesecurity.org/news/debut-of-climate-patriots-video/

CBS 60 Minutes aired a piece on February 21 called The Bloom Box. It’s a fuel cell that converts methane (natural gas) and oxygen from air into CO2 and water with the production of electricity. Several large companies have already bought them. The inventor claims that two boxes with a volume of about 2 liters should be able to power the average house and cost only $3-4 thousand. At: http://www.cbsnews.com/video/watch/?id=6228923n&tag=contentMain;cbsCarousel

The following items are from the Environmental and Energy Study Institute (EESI), Carol Werner, Executive Director. Past issues of its newsletter are posted on its website under "publications"
 at http://www.eesi.org/publications/Newsletters/CCNews/ccnews.htm

EESI’s newsletter is intended for all interested parties, particularly the policymaker community. For more information regarding either the newsletter or EESI please contact Amy Sauer at asauer@eesi.org.

Over 1000 State Legislators Call for Action on Clean Energy Jobs Legislation

On January 25, the Coalition of Legislators for Energy Action Now (CLEAN) issued a call to President Obama and Congressional leaders to pass federal clean energy legislation that would create clean energy jobs, promote national security by reducing oil imports, and foster the domestic innovation of clean energy industries. The letter was written by Minnesota State Rep. Jeremy Kalin (D) on behalf of 1,198 state lawmakers from both parties in 49 states. The letter called for the federal government to pick up where the states have started, in order to combine the patchwork of state incentives with a uniform federal framework. The letter also mentioned that state renewable electricity standards have been responsible for creating many jobs, and that states with clean energy priorities often see sector investment outstrip the rest of the economy 10 to 1. Kalin went on to describe the current situation in global clean technology innovation and investment as one where other countries such as China have overtaken the United States as leaders in the clean technology innovation and investment race. Kalin wrote, _The clean energy and climate challenge is America_s new space race. The United States has never backed down from a challenge on this scale, and we urge you to again place our country at the forefront of innovation and prosperity._

For additional information see: CLEAN Letter, CLEAN Press Release, MinnPost

SEC Sets Corporate Climate Change Disclosure Standard

On January 27, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) decided in a 3-2 vote that companies must consider the effects of climate change and efforts to curb it when divulging business risks to investors. In its adopted guidelines, the SEC said that companies should consider whether existing environmental and climate laws are material to their businesses. In some cases, they must also consider whether to share information about the impact of pending legislation or regulation. Furthermore, the SEC decided that anticipated physical risks must be disclosed if, for instance, increased coastal flooding were to cause additional risks to a company_s insurance holdings or physical capital. The ruling came on the heels of requests by investor groups worried that they do not have enough information regarding the risk to their investments posed by climate change.

For additional information see: Bloomberg, Dow Jones Newswire, SEC Chairman's Speech

Global Warming Ranks Last as a Top Priority: Pew Survey

On January 25, a poll released by the Pew Research Center found that respondents ranked "global warming" last among a list of 21 possible national priorities. For each of the 21 categories, respondents were given the option of answering yes or no as to whether the category should be a top national priority. Respondents selected "global warming" 28 percent of the time, down from 30 percent in 2009. _Protecting the environment_ fared better at 44 percent, up 3 percent since 2009. _Dealing with the US energy problem_ declined from 60 percent in 2009 to 49 percent in 2010. The three issues at the top of the list were strengthening the nation_s economy (83 percent), improving the job situation (81 percent), and defending the United States against terrorism (80 percent).

For additional information see: Pew Report Press Release, Reuters, UPI, USA Today

Painting Roofs White Could Cool Cities

On January 28, the American Geophysical Union announced the results of a recent study from the National Center for Atmospheric Research which showed the potential cooling effect on cities and climate that could be achieved through painting city roofs white. While there are many practical issues relating to the implementation of large scale roof painting_heating and cooling vents, public use, discoloring from dust and weathering_the study indicated clearly that the more white roofs there are, the less heat a city retains. This is particularly significant as cities already suffer from the heat island effect, whereby their average air temperatures are 2-5°F higher than the surrounding countryside due to extensive heat-trapping black rooftops and asphalt streets. The estimated effect a city-wide white roof program would have is a 33 percent reduction in the heat island effect. The authors noted that different cities would receive different levels of benefit, based on three characteristics: 1) roof density and spacing, 2) roof construction and insulation properties, and 3) latitudinal location and climate. White roofs have the secondary advantage of cooling temperatures within buildings, resulting in lower energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions.

For additional information see: American Geophysical Union Press Release, Reuters, St. Louis Post-Dispatch

Micronesia Leads Czechs to Seek Review for Power Plant Emissions

On January 26, Czech regulators ordered the environmental impact assessment for the refurbishment of the Prunerov II coal-fired power plant owned by Czech utility CEZ AS to be completed by independent groups outside the country. The upgrade has been challenged by the Federated States of Micronesia, located roughly on the other side of the earth from the Prunerov II plant. Micronesia argued that the power station’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are a direct threat to its future due to flooding of its low-lying areas; parts of the nation have already been lost to rising tides. Czech law allows such challenges from another nation, and the decision for an external assessment was made to ensure a non-politicized analysis. While it does not expect its demands to result in much, the island nation is demanding that the new plant make use of the "best available" technology. The utility has reiterated many times that the refurbishment will result in a 20 percent decrease in CO2 emissions. The current plans will bring Prunerov II to an estimated energy conversion efficiency of 39.06 percent. However, European Union documents on "best available" technology say it is possible to reach 42-45 percent efficiency. The Czech ministry has stated it will demand "best available" technology upon granting a permit to refurbish.

For additional information see: Wall Street Journal, Reuters

Over 50 Nations Submit GHG Targets; UN Fears It May Not Be Enough

On January 31, more than 50 nations _ together producing 78 percent of the world's GHG emissions _ submitted emission reduction plans to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Among them were many of the world_s biggest emitters, such as the United States, China, the European Union, India, Japan and Australia. Most commitments were reiterations of pledges made during the Copenhagen negotiations in December. Many commitments came with conditional provisions promising greater reductions if other major emitters would simultaneously commit to higher reductions. In making their pledges, China and India referenced obligations pursuant to the 1992 UNFCCC and omitted any reference to the non-binding Copenhagen Accord. Both China and India committed voluntary pledges that focused on reducing GHG per unit of gross domestic product (GDP), rather than limiting actual emissions.

On February 1, UN officials announced that goals for reducing GHG emissions announced by major industrialized nations are a step forward but not enough to forestall the disastrous effects of climate change by midcentury. "It is likely, according to a number of analysts, that if we add up all those figures that were being discussed around Copenhagen, if they're all implemented, it will still be quite difficult to reach the two degrees," said Janos Pasztor, Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon's top climate adviser.

For additional information see: Washington Post, Reuters, Financial Times, Xinhua News, Wall Street Journal

UK Introduces Feed-in Tariff For Low-Carbon Power

On February 1, the UK introduced incentives for small-scale low-carbon electricity generation and low-carbon heating technologies. Starting on April 1, households and communities that install low-carbon electricity technology, such as solar panels and wind turbines, will be paid for doing so via _feed-in tariffs,_ even if they generate only enough energy for their own use. Businesses and households installing renewable energy equipment will gain a return on their investment of 5-8 percent a year, according to government estimates. "The feed-in tariff will change the way householders and communities think about their future energy needs, making the payback for investment far shorter than in the past. It will also change the outlook for a range of industries, in particular those in the business of producing and installing small-scale low carbon technology," said UK Energy and Climate Change Secretary Ed Miliband. Deloitte Energy Director Tim Warham said there was concern the tariffs may not be high enough to encourage consumers. "Higher returns may be necessary in order to stimulate widespread adoption, especially to encourage intermediaries such as energy service companies to initiate major programs," Warham said.

The introduced renewable heat incentive, which would be the first of its kind anywhere in the world, is to come into effect in April 2011 and guarantees payments for installing technologies such as ground source heat pumps, biomass boilers and air source heat pumps. According to the Renewable Energy Association (REA), which represents the UK's renewables industry, demand for heat dominates UK energy use and is responsible for 47 percent of the country_s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. "Renewable heat is the sleeping giant of renewable energy in the UK with a major contribution to make," said REA policy director Gaynor Hartnell.

For additional information see: Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Telegraph, Financial Times

Climate Change Threatens Waterfowl in Prairie Regions

On February 3, the journal BioScience published a study explaining the negative effects on millions of waterfowl caused by the loss of wetlands in the prairie pothole region of central North America. Researchers from the U.S. Geological Survey developed a model to predict the impacts of warmer temperatures on the region. The results projected a drastic decrease in water volume, shortening of water residence time, and changes in regional vegetation. The study concludes that if temperatures rise by 4°C, parts of the North American prairie will become too dry for waterfowl and other parts will have too few functional wetlands to support nesting. The region currently supports the nesting and rearing grounds for millions of waterfowl.

For additional information see: US News, UPI, AP

NOAA Announces New National Climate Service

On February 8, the Obama administration announced plans to create a new National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Service. The proposed entity would create a central federal source "user-friendly" information to help businesses and governments adapt to the effects of climate change. While attention on Capitol Hill has focused on efforts to mitigate global warming by slashing greenhouse gas emissions, state and local governments as well as the private sector have asked for help understanding how the shifting climate will affect their operations. _By providing critical planning information that our businesses and our communities need, NOAA Climate Service will help tackle head-on the challenges of mitigating and adapting to climate change,_ said U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gary Locke, whose department includes NOAA. "American citizens, businesses and governments - from local to federal - must be able to rise to the challenges that lie ahead. And that's where NOAA's climate service will prove absolutely invaluable."

For additional information see: NOAA Press Release, New York Times, Guardian, Bloomberg, U.S. Climate Website

Utah Legislature Formally Questions Climate Change

On February 9, the Utah House of Representatives passed a non-binding resolution by a vote of 56-17 to express its doubt towards the scientific basis for climate change. Proponents declared skepticism toward climate change evidence supplied by scientific and government bodies and called for the federal government to cease all regulation of carbon dioxide (CO2). Rep. Mike Noel (R-Kanab) insisted CO2 is unrelated to air pollution, can encourage plant growth, and is _essentially harmless to humans._ Rep. Kerry Gibson (R-Ogden) said, _I'm afraid of what could happen to our economy, to our rural life, to our agriculture, if such a detrimental policy continues to be pursued for political reasons." Rep. David Litvack (D-Salt Lake City) defended climate change evidence, saying the resolution went too far.

For additional information see: Salt Lake Tribune, Deseret News, AP

Critics of California's Climate Law Consider Plan to Repeal

On February 5, proponents of an effort to suspend California's climate change law announced that they were seeking an initiative to place the issue on the November state ballot. The Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, also referred to as Assembly Bill (AB) 32, is set to take effect in 2012 and mandates that Californians cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 1990 levels by 2020, and another 80 percent by 2050. The primary sponsor behind the initiative to suspend AB 32 is state assemblyman Dan Logue (R-Marysville), who recently told the Los Angeles Times that his campaign had $600,000 available to fund the attempt to gather 433,000 signatures by April 16 to qualify for the general election. His measure as currently drafted would repeal AB 32 until the state's unemployment rate reaches at or below 5.5 percent. Mary Nichols, chairwoman of the California Air Resources Board (CARB), which is implementing the law, called the initiative "a campaign that has to be taken seriously." She said, "It would put all our efforts at energy efficiency and renewable energy in the deep freezer for a long time._

For additional information see: San Diego Union-Tribune, Los Angeles Times, New York Times

United States to Consider Endangered Species Protection for Coral Species

On February 10, the National Marine Fisheries Service announced a finding of _substantial scientific or commercial information_ suggesting that 82 Caribbean and Indo-Pacific corals may be threatened or endangered. The federal register publication starts a formal status review process by federal biologists to determine whether or not to list the coral species under the Endangered Species Act (ESA). If listed as endangered, the species would be protected by regulations making it illegal to harm or kill the species. Miyoko Sakashita, the Oceans Director for the Center for Biological Diversity (CBD), explained, _The status review is an important step forward in protecting coral reefs, which scientists have warned may be the first worldwide ecosystem to collapse due to global warming._ Environmentalists have warned that corals in U.S. waters could be wiped out by mid century if protective measures are not taken. Corals are at risk from warming temperatures and acidification caused by rising carbon dioxide concentrations in ocean waters, coupled with other human stressors like coastal development and agricultural runoff.

For additional information see: New York Times, AP, Federal Register Notice

Pew Report: Melting Arctic Could Cost $2.4 Trillion by 2050

On February 5, the Pew Environment Group released a report that quantified for the first time the global cost of melting in the Arctic region -- a minimum price tag of $2.4 trillion by 2050. The report estimated that the value lost by retreating Arctic sea ice and snow could be an estimated $61 -- $371 billion this year alone. To arrive at the economic cost of Arctic melting, the report_s authors converted projected trends in snow and ice loss and methane releases into carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions equivalents. These values were then multiplied by the social cost of carbon, an estimate by economists of impacts from climate change on agriculture, energy production, water availability, sea level rise and flooding and other factors. _Putting a dollar figure on the Arctic_s climate services allows us to better understand both the region_s immense importance and the enormous price we will pay if the ice is lost,_ said Dr. Eban Goodstein, co-author of the report.

For additional information see: Pew Report, Sydney Morning Herald, Vancouver Sun, CBC

Dramatic Changes in Agriculture Needed as World Warms, Population Grows

On February 12, an international panel of senior researchers called for the agricultural industry to fully embrace genetically modified (GM) crops as a way to meet the dual challenges of population growth and global warming. Writing in the journal Science, the researchers urged world leaders to do more to promote GM technologies so that scientists can create crops that produce higher yields and are able to grow in the harsh conditions of a warmer planet. _There is a critical need to get beyond popular biases against the use of agricultural biotechnology and develop forward-looking regulatory frameworks based on scientific evidence,_ the researchers wrote. With the world_s population forecasted to rise from 6.8 billion today to about 9 billion by 2050, demand for food will increase drastically. Concurrently, climate change is likely to reduce the yields of much of the land currently under cultivation, creating a risk that food production will fall as demand for it rises. _You're looking at a 20 percent to 30 percent decline in production yields in the next 50 years for major crops between the latitudes of southern California or southern Europe to South Africa," said co-author David Battisti, from the University of Washington. The authors advocated developing systems that have the potential to decrease the land, energy and fresh water needed for agriculture and at the same time to reduce the pollution associated with agricultural chemicals and animal waste.

For additional information see: Science Daily, Science, Times Online

16 Lawsuits Filed to Challenge EPA's Decision to Regulate Greenhouse Gases

On February 16, 16 lawsuits were filed challenging the Environmental Protection Agency_s (EPA) endangerment finding for greenhouse gases (GHG). By declaring GHGs a danger to public health and welfare, the EPA is obligated to regulate these gases under the Clean Air Act. The recent lawsuits came from a variety of groups including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, and the states of Texas, Alabama and Virginia. The challenges do not directly test the science of EPA's decision to find GHGs a danger to public health and welfare, but rather the agency's process of doing so. Many industry groups and states have argued that forthcoming EPA regulations will have devastating economic consequences, while the agency has argued that it is required by law to begin regulating greenhouse gas emissions under a Supreme Court ruling in 2007. The agency plans to finalize new GHG rules for automobiles and large stationary sources by next month.

For additional information see: New York Times, AP, Source, Los Angeles Times, Detroit News, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg

Report Shows Economic Potential for Clean Energy in Wisconsin

On February 18, the Center for Climate Strategies released a macroeconomic analysis of the Clean Energy Jobs Act (CEJA), recently proposed legislation in Wisconsin. The measures in CEJA were drawn from the Governor_s Global Warming Task Force Report created under an executive order. Over the next 15 years, the report projects that the bill would create more than 16,200 new jobs in the state. The the legislation would also boost the state's economy by $4.85 billion (in net present value) over the 2011-2025 period. The analysis focused on nine specific proposed policy actions that address clean and renewable energy, energy efficiency, industrial processes, transportation and agriculture.

For additional information see: Center for Climate Strategies' Macroeconomic Analysis of the Wisconsin Clean Energy Jobs Act, Milwaukee-Wisconsin Journal Sentinel

Acidity in Oceans Rising Rapidly

The February 14 edition of the journal Nature Geoscience published a study detailing historical changes in ocean acidification and its connection to the extinction of tiny marine organisms on the bottom of the ocean and the bottom of the food chain. As lead author Andy Ridgewell explained, _Unlike surface plankton dwelling in a variable habitat, organisms living deep down on the ocean floor are adapted to much more stable conditions. A rapid and severe geochemical change in their environment would make their survival precarious._ Ocean acidity plays a critical role in the lifecycles of tiny ocean organisms because of its inhibiting effect on the formation of carbonate shells. They found that as ocean acidification accelerated, mass extinctions of these species occurred, likely endangering entire ancient ocean food chains.

In addition, the study highlighted the fact that current day ocean acidification is rising at a rate much faster than any observed in the study period of about 55 million years ago. Since industrial activity began in the 1700s, ocean acidity has risen 30 percent. This is due almost entirely to atmospheric emissions of carbon dioxide which mixes with ocean water to form a weak acid. The study authors expressed worries that without action this effect is going to ultimately endanger human beings who depend on fish stocks that derive their sustenance from these tiny ocean organisms.

For additional information see: Telegraph, Sydney Morning Herald, Vancouver Sun, Bristol University

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Thanks,
Chad A. Tolman

chadtolman@verizon.net
Coalition for Climate Change Study and Action

Friday, January 29, 2010

CLIMATE CHANGE NEWS FOR JANUARY 2010

CC NEWS FOR JANUARY 2010

An article by Johan Rockström and 28 co-authors published in Nature in September was titled, A Safe Operating Space for Humanity. The authors define nine planetary boundaries that human activities must not cross to avoid serious environmental damage, and conclude that three of them – climate change, rate of species extinction, and conversion of atmospheric nitrogen (N2) to chemical reactive nitrogen compounds - have already been crossed. This important paper has links to a number of related studies. At:

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v461/n7263/full/461472a.html

The authors assert that the climate boundary we should not cross is 350 ppm CO2 rather than the conventional global average temperature change of 2°C (3.6°F) above the preindustrial value, since the climate sensitivity is likely to be larger than we thought: 6°C with a range of 4-8°C rather than 3°C with a range of 2-4.5°C.

John Rennie in the Nov. 30 issue of Scientific American has an article titled, Seven Answers to Climate Contrarian Nonsense. In it he lists and addresses seven claims commonly made by climate change contrarians, such as the one that human generated CO2 makes such a small contribution to the greenhouse effect that it couldn’t possibly be important. He points out that the main objective of the contrarians is to avoid any action to reduce CO2 emissions. At: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=seven-answers-to-climate-contrarian-nonsense

The Pew Center on Global Climate Change has a website, updated annually since 2006, called, Climate Change 101: Understanding and Responding to Global Climate Change, with a series of well-written articles. “The series begins with an overview report which serves as a summary and introduction to the series and consists of nine briefs covering: climate science and impacts, adaptation (my emphasis), technological solutions, cap and trade, business solutions, international action, action in the U.S. states, and efforts by local governments.” The brief on adaptation is especially important, because most of the discussion so far has been about mitigation. For the 2009 series see: http://www.pewclimate.org/global-warming-basics/climate_change_101

Michael Fitzpatrick of BBC News has a Jan. 6 article titled, Methane release ‘looks stronger.’ Igor Semiletov from the University of Alaska at Fairbanks reports that the rate of methane gas release from the Artic Ocean north of Russia is increasing and that bubbles of gas released from the melting permafrost on the sea floor can be seen coming to the surface. Concentrations of methane measured in the atmosphere in the area have been as high as 1000 times normal. Methane is a powerful greenhouse gas, and its release contributes to a positive feedback where the warming it causes increases the rate of its release. At: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/8437703.stm

In a blog dated Nov. 25, 2009, titled, Who on earth cares about climate change?, Andrea Liverani of blogs.worldbank.org described a multi-country public opinion survey for the World Bank’s World Development Report 2010: Development and Climate Change, which for the first time targeted developing countries with a comprehensive set of questions regarding climate policy. The poll’s first question was: “In your view, is climate change, also known as global warming, a very serious problem, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not a problem?” Majorities of people in all countries polled see climate change as either very serious or somewhat serious. The highest percentages for ‘very serious’ were from poor countries: 90% from Mexico, 85% from Bangladesh, and 75% from Kenya. The lowest ‘very serious’ percentages were from countries with high per capita CO2 emissions: 28% from China, 30% from Russia, and 31% from the U.S. The U.S. had the highest percentage (12%) saying that climate change is ‘not a problem’. At:

http://blogs.worldbank.org/climatechange/who-earth-cares-about-climate-change

John Holdren, the Director of the Whitehouse Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) gave a presentation in Copenhagen on Dec. 16 titled, The Science of Climate Change: What Do We Know? What Can We Do? It contains a lot of very good and up to date information. Well worth looking at. At: http://www.ostp.gov/galleries/press_release_files/2009_12-16_JPH%20at%20COP-15_to%20post.pdf

The Department of Energy announced the release a report on January 10 in EERE (Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy) News, titled, Eastern Wind Integration and Transmission Study (EWITS). The study explores the technical, operational, and economic issues facing the integration of large amounts of wind power into the Eastern U.S. – up to 30% of the total electricity generated in 2024. The study has three main parts: a wind resource assessment and plant siting study, a transmission study, and a wind integration study. Some of the results are:

o There are no fundamental technical barriers to the integration of 20% wind energy into the electrical system, but transmission planning and system operation policy and market development need to continue to evolve in order for these penetration levels to be achieved;

o Interconnection-wide costs for integrating large amounts of wind generation are manageable with large regional operating pools, because increasing the geographic diversity of wind power projects in a given operating pool generally makes the aggregated wind power output more predicable and less variable, while also reducing the variation in load and increasing the number of generation assets that can be committed and dispatched;

o Although the costs of aggressive expansion of the existing grid are significant, they make up a relatively small piece of the total annual power system costs in any of the scenarios studied;

o Wind generation displaces carbon-based fuels, directly reducing carbon dioxide emissions. Emissions continue to decline as more wind generation is added to the energy supply

At: http://apps1.eere.energy.gov/news/progress_alerts.cfm/pa_id=288

A similar study for the Western U.S., including both solar and wind power, is due later this year.

The EWITS Executive Summary and Project Overview can be downloaded at:

http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/47086.pdf

A press release dated Jan. 12 from the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, titled, EPW Majority United in Opposition to Murkowski Effort to Overturn EPA Global Warming Endangerment Finding, reported that all of the Democratic members of the committee signed a Dear Colleague letter opposing the effort by Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) to overturn the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) global warming endangerment finding. If successful, she would strip the EPA of its authority to regulate GHG emissions under the Clean Air Act. The Senators signing the letter were: Barbara Boxer (CA), Chairman, Thomas Carper (DE), Frank Lautenberg (NJ), Benjamin Cardin (MD), Senator Bernard Sanders (I-VT), Senator Amy Klobuchar (MN), Sheldon Whitehouse (RI), Tom Udall (NM), Max Baucus (MT), Jeff Merkley (OR), Kirsten Gillibrand (NY), and Arlen Specter (PA). At: http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Majority.PressReleases&ContentRecord_id=2354e983-802a-23ad-4cdd-ae4ca31b0a6b

James Hansen et al. have recently posted a paper titled, If It’s That Warm, How Come It’s So Darned Cold? An Essay on Regional Cold Anomalies within Near-Record Global Temperature. It points out that - the claims of the climate change deniers and the low U.S. temperatures in December notwithstanding - the global average temperature is increasing. In fact, on a global average basis, 2009 tied for the second warmest year in over a century. At: http://www.columbia.edu/%7Ejeh1/mailings/2010/20100127_TemperatureFinal.pdf

Kate Galbraith has an article in the NY Times for Jan. 23 titled, Why Is a Utility Paying Customers? It points out that Idaho Power Company, which at one time urged customers to use more power (the company was generating more from hydroelectric dams than its customers could use), is now paying them a premium not to use power during times of peak demand. Saving energy costs less than building new power plants, so both the customer and the company benefit. At:

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/24/business/energy-environment/24idaho.html

Kate Sheppard in the Jan. 22 issue of Mother Jones has an article, The First Rule of Fighting Climate Change: Don't Talk About Climate Change. In it she points out that Republican pollster and wordsmith Frank Luntz has suggested that the best way to get support for cap-and-trade legislation is not to talk about global warming or dying polar bears, but how the legislation will create jobs, make the planet healthier and decrease U.S. dependence on foreign oil. As a GOP strategist in 2002, Luntz was the one who advocated that Republicans sow confusion about global warming. He wrote that Republicans should "continue to make the lack of scientific certainty a primary issue in the debate" because otherwise, "[s]hould the public come to believe that the scientific issues are settled, their views about global warming will change accordingly." At: http://motherjones.com/mojo/2010/01/gop-pollster-luntz-tells-enviros-stop-talking-climate

You can read more about this at the TommyWonk blog of Jan. 27 at: http://www.tommywonk.com/


The following items are from the Environmental and Energy Study Institute (EESI), Carol Werner, Executive Director. Past issues of its newsletter are posted on its website under "publications"
 at http://www.eesi.org/publications/Newsletters/CCNews/ccnews.htm

EESI’s newsletter is intended for all interested parties, particularly the policymaker community. For more information regarding either the newsletter or EESI please contact Amy Sauer at asauer@eesi.org.

U.S. Businesses Call on President Obama to Achieve a Global Climate Deal

On December 15, more than two dozen blue-chip U.S. businesses sent a letter to President Obama to express their desire for a strong international climate change agreement at the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Copenhagen. The letter called for leadership from the President in negotiating a climate agreement that will lead to substantial emissions reductions and financing for impoverished nations. “We must put the United States on the path to significant emissions reductions, a stronger economy and a new position of leadership to stabilize our climate,” the letter stated. “The costs of inaction far outweigh the costs of action.” Among the signers were Dow Chemical, Microsoft, Nike, Duke Energy, and Pacific Gas & Electric.

For additional information see: Ceres Press Release

Schwarzenegger Highlights Local Governments' Role in Climate Fight

On December 15, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger addressed delegates at the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change conference in Copenhagen. Schwarzenegger said that while an international treaty will be a great start to confronting climate change, local governments and other entities will have to play a major role if the world is to successfully avoid dangerous climate change. “The world's governments alone cannot make the progress that is needed on global climate change," Schwarzenegger said. “They need the cities, the states, the provinces, the regions. They need the corporations, the activists, the scientists, the universities, and the individuals to create the determination and action for movement.”

For additional information see: AP, Financial Times, The Telegraph

IEA: Energy Revolution Required to Combat Climate Change

On December 14, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released a blueprint of the energy system needed to keep atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations stabilized at 450 parts per million. “The 450 Policy scenario of our flagship publication World Energy Outlook 2009 is the right path to green growth but it is a radical departure from current trends,” said IEA Executive Director Nobuo Tanaka at the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change conference in Copenhagen. The IEA estimated that over 60 percent of the world's energy would have to be produced by low carbon sources (renewables, nuclear, fossil fuel with carbon capture and storage) by 2030 and that hybrid electric vehicles would have to account for over 60 percent to total vehicle sales. “The energy path to stabilize climate is clear, but only vigorous action will put our economies on that path to green growth,” Tanaka emphasized. “A strong political signal is needed now in order to drive the necessary changes.”

For additional information see: International Energy Agency Press Release, Scientific American

New Index Seeks to Track Climate Change Trends and Provide Easy Reference

On December 16, the Royal Swedish Academy of Science's International Geosphere-Biosphere Program (IGBP) unveiled a new index that attempts to put a single number on the numerous threats posed by climate change, such as temperature increases, sea level rise, and changes in precipitation. The index was modeled after the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which tracks the stock prices of 30 blue-chip American corporations. The creators said the impacts of climate change have increased: the index measured at 34 in 1980, but has increased to 574 as of 2007. “We felt people outside global-change research are not clear about the scale of the changes scientists are witnessing,” said IGBP Executive Director Sybil Seitzinger. “The index is a response to these concerns.”

For additional information see: Science Daily, AFP, Reuters, The Examiner

New Study Says Sea Levels Will Rise Nine Meters

In a study published in the December 16 issue of Nature, researchers from Princeton University estimated that sea levels will rise nine meters within the next two centuries even if temperatures are stabilized at 2°C above pre-industrial levels. In their Fourth Assessment Report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimated that sea levels would rise approximately 4-6 meters if temperatures increased by 2°C. The scientists said their estimate was higher because it includes recent research on ice loss in Greenland and Antarctica. “Is this the end of the world? No,” said lead author Michael Oppenheimer. “Does it mean there's a premium on reducing the level of greenhouse gases as fast as reasonably possible? Yes. Also, it puts an exclamation point on the two-degree target."

For additional information see: The Guardian, AP, Washington Post, Science Daily

Global Temperatures Could Rise More than Expected

In the December 20 issue of Nature Geoscience, researchers looking at long-term climate models found that the current increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) could lead to global temperatures higher than previously expected. The scientists from Yale University used sediment drilled from the ocean floor to reconstruct CO2 concentrations in the mid- and early-Pliocene era and found that "a relatively small rise in CO2 levels was associated with substantial global warming 4.5 million years ago." The team also found that the global temperature was between 3.6 and 5.4°F higher than today, though CO2 levels were similar to current levels. “This work and other ancient climate reconstructions reveal that Earth's climate is more sensitive to atmospheric carbon dioxide than is discussed in political circles," said lead author Mark Pagani. "Since there is no indication that the future will behave differently than the past, we should expect a couple of degrees of continued warming even if we held CO2 concentrations at the current level."

For additional information see: Science Daily, AFP, The Examiner, Times of India

Poll Shows Americans' Strong Support for Action against Global Warming

On December 23, the National Wildlife Federation (NWF) released a poll which found that more than 80 percent of Americans polled support action to limit carbon pollution and transition to a low carbon economy. The poll was conducted December 12 through 15 and included 1,000 registered voters across the United States. Eighty-two percent of those polled support having the U.S. government increase investments in clean energy sources, and 67 percent of those polled support having the government limit carbon and other greenhouse gases (GHGs) that contribute to global warming. “The American people can't be more clear when it comes to solving global warming: they want the U.S. to be Rudolph out in front of the sleigh, leading the world toward a clean energy future,” said Jeremy Symons, senior vice president of NWF. “There is overwhelming public support for the Senate to pass legislation with firm limits on carbon pollution that will stimulate massive new investments in clean energy technologies.” The majority of respondents believe that global warming is happening, with 91 percent of Democrats, 64 percent of independents, and 43 percent of Republicans stating they believe it is happening.

For additional information see: NWF Press Release, Dayton Daily News

Scientists Map Speed of Climate Change for Different Ecosystems

In the December 24 issue of Nature, researchers calculated the average rate at which ecosystems must shift geographically to keep pace with changing temperatures as a result of global warming. The team of scientists has measured the average rate that ecosystems must shift to be 0.42 kilometers per year. Nearly one-third of ecosystems face will temperature increases faster than the highest possible migration rates for the plants that live in these areas. Overall, the study found that the expected increase in temperatures in most areas of the world will rise at a faster rate than the ability of wildlife to adapt, leading to mass extinction of many species. Protected areas, such as nature preserves, were found to be generally too small to cope with the predicted change. "When we look at residence time for protected areas, which we define as the amount of time it will take current climate conditions to move across and out of a given protected area, only 8 per cent of our current protected areas have a residence time of more than 100 years," said Dr. Healy Hamilton of the California Academy of Sciences.

For additional information see: Science Daily, The Independent, Reuters, AFP

Reinsurer Sees Climate-related Losses Mounting

On December 29, German reinsurer Munich Re released its annual survey of natural catastrophes and warned that weather-related catastrophes continue to rise, reaching 850 events in 2009, compared to the ten-year average of 770 events. Torsten Jeworrek, a Munich Re board member, said the number of weather-related catastrophes had “more or less” tripled since 1950, causing about $1,600 billion in economic losses since 1980. “Climate change probably already accounts for a significant share [of the sum],” Jeworrek said. In 2009, weather accounted for 45 percent of the 22 billion in claims due to natural catastrophe, according to Munich Re. As part of its report, the reinsurer also called for a global agreement to address climate change. "We need as soon as possible an agreement that significantly reduces greenhouse gas emissions because the climate reacts slowly and what we fail to do now will have a bearing for decades to come," Jeworrek added.

For additional information see: Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, AFP

Brazil to Make 2020 Carbon Emission Targets Legally Binding

On December 29, Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva signed a law requiring the country to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions roughly 39 percent below 1990 levels by 2020. The target was announced earlier by Brazil at the climate negotiations in Copenhagen in December as a "voluntary commitment" to reduce CO2 emissions by between 36.1 and 38.9 percent in the next ten years. The new law is subject to several decrees setting out responsibilities and regulations for the farming, industrial, energy and environmental sectors. Lula is expected to sign the decrees in January after consulting scientists and other experts, officials said. "We will fully comply with the targets. It doesn't matter that Copenhagen didn't go as well as we had hoped," Environment Minister Carlos Minc said after meeting with the Brazilian president.

For additional information see: Reuters, AFP

Canada's Arctic Meltdown Growing At Alarming Pace

In the December 29 issue of the Journal of Geophysical Research, scientists reported that the period of time in which Arctic ice is melting in northern Canada has increased by 20 days since 1979. The scientists conducting the research used satellite microwave data to measure when sea ice begins to melt and when it refreezes each year. They found that, on average, sea ice began melting 2.5 days earlier each decade and began refreezing 3.7 days later. “All areas in the Arctic show a trend toward earlier melt onset and also a trend toward later freeze-up,” the article noted, but the study also found that rate is even faster in areas of the Canadian Arctic. One of the most southerly ice packs is Hudson Bay, which the study found was melting at one of the fastest rates in the world. One of the researchers, Julienne Stroeve from the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado in Boulder, said the findings are consistent with other data about the effects of climate change on the Arctic.

For additional information see: Journal of Geophysical Research Abstract, Toronto Star, Canadian Press

Climate Change Increasing Risk of Malaria

On December 31, researchers from the Kenyan Medical Research Institute reported that global warming had caused a seven-fold increase in cases of malaria on Mount Kenya from ten years ago. In 1989 in the Central Highlands region of Kenya, the average temperature was 17°C. Because the parasite that causes malaria matures at 18°C, researchers did not observe any significant cases of malaria. Temperatures in that region now average 19°C, and local officials are now seeing mosquitoes carrying malaria in higher altitudes and epidemics among humans. “The spread of malaria in the Mount Kenya region is a worrying sign of things to come,” said Douglas Alexander, the international development secretary for the UK Department for International Development, which funded the study. “Without strong and urgent action to tackle climate change, malaria could infect areas without any experience of the disease. That's why we need to make sure vulnerable, developing nations such as Kenya have the support they need to tackle the potentially devastating impacts of climate change.”

For additional information see: The Guardian, The Times

Investors Urge Governments to Act on Climate Change

On January 13, the first gathering of business leaders since the Copenhagen climate summit urged world governments to take immediate action on global warming, or risk losing the opportunity to establish a clean and sustainable low-carbon economy. "Given that Copenhagen was a missed opportunity to create one fully functional international carbon market, it is more important than ever that individual governments implement regional and domestic policy change to stimulate the creation of a low carbon economy," said Peter Dunsombe, chairman of the IIGCC, a network of European investors. "Leaders from both developed and developing countries need to act now to compensate for the lack of progress," he continued. The investors said it was critical that governments – including the United States – adopt rigorous targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions over the next decade as well as for 2050. In addition to renewable energy, they also called for policies to speed the development of green building practices, cleaner cars and public transit systems. "Investors remain committed to taking action," the group of 450 investors from Europe, the United States and Australia said. "But for us to deploy capital at the scale needed to truly catalyze a low-carbon economy, policy makers must act swiftly."

For additional information see: The Guardian, Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Ceres Press Release

California Adopts First State 'Green' Building Codes

On January 12, a California state commission unanimously voted to approve what are considered the nation's strongest "green" building code standards. Dubbed Calgreen, the new rules go into effect January 2011 and include requirements such as reducing indoor water use, using low-pollutant paints, carpets and floorings and installing separate water meters for different users (in non-residential buildings only). Calgreen also mandates the inspection of heaters, air conditioners and other energy systems in nonresidential buildings to ensure maximum efficiency. The code was supported by a wide range of building industry and realty associations, as well as the state Chamber of Commerce. Industry officials said that the new regulations would increase construction costs only slightly while helping California meet its goal to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions 30 percent by 2020. Buildings currently account for roughly 25 percent of the state's total GHG emissions.

The new regulations did receive some opposition. Six groups, including the Sierra Club and Natural Resources Defense Council, waged a last-minute campaign to derail some of the rules, saying they fall short of more rigorous standards adopted by more than 50 California jurisdictions in league with the U.S. Green Building Council. In general, the groups largely applauded the code's mandatory rules as a baseline minimum standard, but they take issue with its two-tier labeling system, saying it would open the door to conflicting interpretations and thus be practically unenforceable. Despite their objections, however, the rules were passed unanimously.

For additional information see: San Francisco Gate, Central Valley Business Pope Denounces Failure to Form New Climate Treaty

On January 11, Pope Benedict XVI spoke out regarding the world leaders' inability to agree to a new climate change treaty last month in Copenhagen. He told nearly 100 ambassadors accredited to the Vatican that the preservation of God's creation was the continual responsibility of our world leaders and denounced the “economic and political resistance” to combating environmental degradation. Since Benedict became Pope, the Vatican has joined a reforestation project, aimed at offsetting its CO2 emissions, as well as installed solar panels to convert sunlight into electricity. Due to his increasingly vocal concern about protecting the environment, an issue he has reflected on in encyclicals, during foreign trips and most recently in his annual peace message, Benedict has been dubbed the "green pope".

For additional information see: BBC, APTimes, Los Angeles Times

Pine Beetle Turns Trees into Carbon Emitters

On January 10, the Globe and Mail reported a finding by Canadian researchers saying that pine beetles have now killed so many trees that the forests of British Columbia currently put more greenhouse gases (GHGs) into the air than they store. This has been true since 2003, the experts continued, and by 2009, dead lodgepole pines had a bigger carbon footprint than the province's human population. Experts estimate that the pine beetle has killed roughly 1 billion trees, most of them expected to decay over the next half-century or so, which returns carbon stored in the trees to the atmosphere.

For additional information see: The Globe and Mail, UPI

Over 80 U.S. Companies Call on Obama and Congress to Enact Comprehensive Climate Legislation

On January 21, more than 80 CEOs from leading U.S. businesses, including Exelon, Virgin America, NRG Energy, eBay and PG&E, sent a letter to President Obama and members of Congress calling on them to enact comprehensive climate and energy legislation that will create jobs and enhance U.S. competitiveness. The letter stated that the United States is "falling behind" in the global clean energy race and called for forceful leadership to achieve legislation that will unleash innovation, drive economic growth, boost energy independence and decrease our carbon emissions. "American businesses recognize this challenge and have already begun to respond and innovate. However, today's uncertainty surrounding energy and climate regulation is hindering the large-scale actions that American businesses are poised to make," the letter stated. It continued, "We need strong policies and clear market signals that support the transition to a low-carbon economy and reward companies that innovate. It is time for the Administration and Congress to embrace this policy as the promising economic opportunity that will empower American workers to compete and American entrepreneurship to lead the way."

For additional information see: We Can Lead Press Release, Denver Business Journal

EU to Stick with Lower Climate Offer to UN

On January 22, the European Union (EU) decided to commit to unilaterally cut carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to 20 percent below 1990 levels over the next decade, a draft letter showed. Ahead of the United Nations climate talks in Copenhagen in December, the EU offered to deepen those cuts to 30 percent, an offer contingent upon "comparable effort" from other nations. After the failure to form a comprehensive international agreement, however, the EU has returned to its original position of 20 percent reduction below 1990 levels. The EU's reluctance to set tougher targets for itself came despite the admission by a senior official that the measures envisaged by the Copenhagen accord do not correspond with those that most scientists deem necessary to avert a potentially catastrophic rise in global temperatures. Olli Rehn, a member of the European Commission, said this week that the agreement "falls badly short of our goal" to ensure that temperatures do not climb above 2°C of pre-industrial levels. Rehn added, "The accord is better than no outcome at all, which would have been the worst case scenario." Many EU countries and industries expressed wariness of increasing cuts to 30 percent alone as the cost of cutting emissions might put factories at a disadvantage to rivals in less regulated countries. Environmentalists believe, however, that the EU should strive for a 30 percent reduction goal as a minimum, regardless of whether other big players in the global economy will emulate it. They contend that the EU's tactic of hoping outsiders follow its agenda has not worked and that it is now time for it to lead by example. Matthias Duwe, director of Climate Action Network Europe, said that the EU, “is sitting back and waiting for others, when there should be a renewed sense of urgency."

For additional information see: Reuters, IPS, BBC

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Coalition for Climate Change Study and Action